The prospect of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu dismissing Defense Minister Yoav Gallant has ignited significant debate. This move comes amid the ongoing Gaza conflict and rising tensions in northern Israel.
Underlying Issues
Netanyahu reportedly threatened to fire Gallant for opposing an expansion of the war into Lebanon. However, the core issue appears to be Gallant’s resistance to passing a law that would exempt ultra-Orthodox (haredi) Jews from military service. The haredim have threatened to collapse Netanyahu’s government if this law isn’t passed.
Gallant’s Position
Gallant is not fundamentally against a war in Lebanon but wants to allow more time for diplomatic solutions. Netanyahu, despite his statements, is opposed to a war in Lebanon. Initially, Gallant supported a war in Lebanon, while Netanyahu did not. This disagreement led to Benny Gantz being quickly added to the government to back Netanyahu’s anti-war stance.
Netanyahu’s Objectives
Netanyahu aims to remove Gallant, who pressures him to end the Gaza war. Gallant, a rival of Netanyahu, is also well-regarded by Washington. Importantly, Gallant blocks the military service exemption law for the haredim, who have set a deadline for Netanyahu: pass the law or face government collapse.
Strategic Alternatives
Netanyahu’s potential strategy includes appointing Gideon Sa’ar as Defense Minister. Sa’ar, who has previously negotiated with the haredim, could help address their demands. This move would also offer a solution to managing Itamar Ben-Gvir, who creates significant issues for Netanyahu.
Political Maneuver
In one strategic move, Netanyahu could:
- Remove Gallant
- Manage Ben-Gvir
- Satisfy the haredim
- Continue the Gaza conflict
- Claim to address the northern border issue
This approach might solve many of Netanyahu’s problems but could escalate tensions in Lebanon as a result.
